GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boca JuniorsWWDWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
38.3Attack44.4
55.0Defence71.4
43.3Form55.6
47.5Power58.3
0.69xG1.14
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