GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Defensa y Justicia Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Platense Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa y Justicia Res. hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa y Justicia Res.

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa y Justicia Res.LDWDW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Platense Res.WDWDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Defensa y Justicia Res.Platense Res.
63.6Attack25.8
53.0Defence63.6
51.5Form42.4
55.0Power46.0
1.52xG0.65
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