Argentina · Reserve League · 8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Defensa y Justicia Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Newell's Old Boys Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Newell's Old Boys Res. hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40