GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Defensa y Justicia Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lanús Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanús Res. hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa y Justicia Res.

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa y Justicia Res.LWWDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lanús Res.WDWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Defensa y Justicia Res.Lanús Res.
63.6Attack65.2
53.0Defence56.5
51.5Form60.9
55.0Power60.0
1.75xG1.70
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