Defensa y Justicia Res.vs
Independiente Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 5/26/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Defensa y Justicia Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Res.
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
11.1%
Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60