GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Defensa y Justicia Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Colón Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa y Justicia Res. hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa y Justicia Res.

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa y Justicia Res.WDLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colón Res.DWLWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa y Justicia Res.Colón Res.
63.6Attack27.3
53.0Defence56.1
51.5Form30.3
55.0Power40.3
1.88xG0.67
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