GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 7/19/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Dedza Dynamos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chitipa United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chitipa United hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dedza DynamosWDLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chitipa UnitedDWLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Dedza DynamosChitipa United
22.2Attack25.6
50.0Defence61.5
33.3Form48.7
37.8Power48.2
0.56xG0.73
View match centre →