Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
DEAC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
DEAC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tarpa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and DEAC hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the NB III - Northeast, while DEAC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
DEAC
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
10.5%
DEAC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00