GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Telstar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

De Graafschap are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Telstar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Telstar hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 69.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Telstar holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Telstar

Probability

69.7%

Model confidence

8.3%

Telstar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

De GraafschapLLWDL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TelstarLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
De GraafschapTelstar
55.6Attack87.5
16.7Defence54.2
38.9Form70.8
39.1Power69.3
1.57xG3.52
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