De Graafschapvs
Excelsior
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Graafschap · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
De Graafschap are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Excelsior are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.1 against 40.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while De Graafschap holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
De Graafschap
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
De Graafschap has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 18 · avg 2.40/3.60
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60