GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

DC United are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Toronto FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

DC United

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC UnitedDDDLD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto FCDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DC UnitedToronto FC
48.1Attack44.4
46.3Defence40.7
42.6Form31.5
48.0Power41.8
1.89xG1.29
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