DC Unitedvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
DC United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while St. Louis City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00