DC Unitedvs
Philadelphia Union
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
DC United are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
DC United
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40