GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

DC United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nashville SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 72.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC UnitedWDDDL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Nashville SCLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DC UnitedNashville SC
48.1Attack68.4
46.3Defence73.7
42.6Form75.4
48.0Power72.7
0.80xG2.19
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