GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

DC United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United FC hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Minnesota United FC holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United FC

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC UnitedDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Minnesota United FCWLDLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DC UnitedMinnesota United FC
13.3Attack28.6
20.0Defence42.9
6.7Form33.3
18.5Power38.3
1.43xG1.45
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