DC Unitedvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
DC United are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80