GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/23/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

DC United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CF Montreal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

DC United

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC UnitedDLDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CF MontrealLDWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DC UnitedCF Montreal
48.1Attack44.4
46.3Defence35.2
42.6Form29.6
48.0Power37.8
2.09xG1.28
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