GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carolina Ascent W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

DC Power W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Carolina Ascent W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Carolina Ascent W hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.0% in the USL Super League, while Carolina Ascent W holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carolina Ascent W

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

19.0%

Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DC Power WLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Carolina Ascent WLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DC Power WCarolina Ascent W
28.6Attack52.9
51.2Defence70.1
28.6Form55.2
39.0Power59.5
0.52xG1.50
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