Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Dartford are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Charlton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlton hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (24.4 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Charlton holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlton
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Charlton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80