Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Danubio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Juventud are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.8 against 43.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40