DanubiovsDefensor Sporting

Danubio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensor Sporting hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.9% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.