GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 4/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Danubio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Primera División, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Torque

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DanubioLDLWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico TorqueLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DanubioAtletico Torque
30.6Attack50.0
56.9Defence59.1
31.9Form53.0
41.8Power55.5
0.77xG1.23
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