GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 5/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dangjin Citizen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Yangpyeong are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dangjin CitizenLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
YangpyeongLDWLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Dangjin CitizenYangpyeong
61.4Attack36.7
52.6Defence50.0
49.1Form41.1
54.6Power44.2
2.02xG0.92
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