GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 7/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Dangjin Citizen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pocheon are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.1% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

63.1%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dangjin CitizenWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PocheonWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dangjin CitizenPocheon
61.4Attack37.8
52.6Defence45.6
49.1Form28.9
54.6Power39.8
2.24xG0.94
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