GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 6/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sunshine Georgies · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Dandenong Thunder are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sunshine Georgies are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunshine Georgies hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Victoria NPL, while Sunshine Georgies holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sunshine Georgies

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Sunshine Georgies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong ThunderLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sunshine GeorgiesDDWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dandenong ThunderSunshine Georgies
33.3Attack44.4
26.1Defence56.9
21.7Form48.6
28.5Power51.8
0.88xG1.96
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