GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Albans Saints · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dandenong Thunder are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while St. Albans Saints are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Albans Saints hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Victoria NPL, while St. Albans Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Albans Saints

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

St. Albans Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong ThunderLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
St. Albans SaintsWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dandenong ThunderSt. Albans Saints
33.3Attack38.9
26.1Defence41.7
21.7Form38.9
28.5Power42.3
1.22xG1.67
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