Dandenong Thundervs
Melbourne City II
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 2/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Dandenong Thunder are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Melbourne City II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne City II hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.2% in the Victoria NPL, while Melbourne City II holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melbourne City II
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
68.2%
Melbourne City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60