GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 6/27/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Dandenong Thunder are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Hume City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

76.3%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong ThunderLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 22 · avg 1.20/4.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hume CityWWDWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dandenong ThunderHume City
33.3Attack66.7
26.1Defence55.6
21.7Form63.9
28.5Power63.3
0.87xG3.04
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