GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 7/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dandenong Thunder · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dandenong Thunder are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Bentleigh Greens are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bentleigh Greens hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Victoria NPL, while Dandenong Thunder holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dandenong Thunder

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Dandenong Thunder has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong ThunderLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 22 · avg 1.00/4.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bentleigh GreensLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Dandenong ThunderBentleigh Greens
33.3Attack29.2
26.1Defence34.7
21.7Form29.2
28.5Power32.8
1.40xG1.22
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