GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 7/10/2026, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dandenong City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dandenong City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while South Melbourne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Victoria NPL, while Dandenong City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dandenong City

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Dandenong City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong CityDWLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South MelbourneWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Dandenong CitySouth Melbourne
44.4Attack52.8
59.7Defence54.2
45.8Form56.9
51.1Power54.7
1.31xG1.20
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