GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 8/16/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Sun W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dallas Trinity W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tampa Bay Sun W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Sun W hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the USL Super League, while Tampa Bay Sun W holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Sun W

Probability

33.9%

Model confidence

14.9%

Tampa Bay Sun W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dallas Trinity WLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tampa Bay Sun WLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dallas Trinity WTampa Bay Sun W
49.4Attack50.0
63.2Defence67.8
49.4Form57.8
54.1Power60.0
1.00xG1.02
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