GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/4/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dalian Zhixing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wuhan Three Towns are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dalian Zhixing hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Super League, while Dalian Zhixing holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dalian Zhixing

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Dalian Zhixing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Wuhan Three TownsLDDDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dalian ZhixingWuhan Three Towns
50.8Attack47.6
42.9Defence39.7
50.8Form31.7
50.2Power41.3
2.05xG1.46
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