GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/8/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shenyang Urban are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and dalian Zhixing hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring a draw with 11.7% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.6%

Model confidence

11.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingDLDWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Shenyang UrbanWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian ZhixingShenyang Urban
50.8Attack44.4
42.9Defence47.6
50.8Form38.1
50.2Power44.0
1.76xG1.37
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