GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 6/28/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shanghai Shenhua are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Super League, while Shanghai Shenhua holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingDLWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Shanghai ShenhuaWDLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian ZhixingShanghai Shenhua
50.8Attack60.3
42.9Defence46.0
50.8Form50.8
50.2Power53.6
1.77xG1.92
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