GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/18/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shandong Luneng are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shandong LunengWLWWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian ZhixingShandong Luneng
50.8Attack60.9
42.9Defence44.9
50.8Form56.5
50.2Power55.0
1.79xG1.95
View match centre →