Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dainava are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tauras are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.2 against 62.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00