Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Dainava are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Jonava are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 25 · GA 7 · avg 5.00/1.40