Dainavavs
Hegelmann II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Dainava are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hegelmann II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
83.5%
Model confidence
83.5%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60