Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Dainava are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Garliava are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00