Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Dainava are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ekranas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 29.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
83.0%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40