Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Dainava are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while BFA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
11.1%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00