Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
15%
MediumconfidenceDainava are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Babrungas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and babrungas hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 77.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1 Lyga, favouring a draw with 14.9% confidence, a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.8%
Model confidence
14.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DainavaDWWWW
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BabrungasWWWWD
GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
DainavaBabrungas
59.3Attack56.1
66.7Defence89.5
63.0Form84.2
63.2Power77.6
1.01xG1.08