GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 4/22/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Daejeon Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jeju United FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Jeju United FC hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the K League 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Daejeon CitizenWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Jeju United FCDWWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Daejeon CitizenJeju United FC
40.9Attack37.9
63.6Defence63.6
39.4Form47.0
48.6Power52.0
0.94xG0.76
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