GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 8/2/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Daejeon Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Daejeon Citizen are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gwangju FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Daejeon Citizen hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the K League 1, while Daejeon Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Daejeon Citizen

Probability

70.4%

Model confidence

70.4%

Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Daejeon CitizenLDDDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gwangju FCWLDDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC
40.9Attack16.7
63.6Defence28.8
39.4Form16.7
48.6Power24.3
2.00xG0.47
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