D. Puerto MonttvsConcepción

D. Puerto Montt are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concepción are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Concepción hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Copa Chile, while Concepción holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.