GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 3/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

D. La Serena · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

D. La Serena are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union La Calera are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and D. La Serena hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Primera División, while D. La Serena holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

D. La Serena

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

D. La Serena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

D. La SerenaWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Union La CaleraWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
D. La SerenaUnion La Calera
49.1Attack37.0
45.6Defence44.4
40.4Form35.2
46.2Power40.8
1.78xG1.09
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