GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Everton de Vina · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

D. La Serena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Everton de Vina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton de Vina hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Primera División, while Everton de Vina holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Everton de Vina

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

34.9%

Everton de Vina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

D. La SerenaLDWWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Everton de VinaDDWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
D. La SerenaEverton de Vina
49.1Attack43.9
45.6Defence59.6
40.4Form42.1
46.2Power49.6
1.26xG1.32
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