D. La SerenavsCobresal

D. La Serena are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cobresal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cobresal hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cobresal holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.