GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cusco · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cusco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cusco hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Primera División, while Cusco holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cusco

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Cusco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CuscoLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Comerciantes UnidosDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CuscoComerciantes Unidos
50.0Attack40.9
53.0Defence56.1
54.5Form39.4
53.1Power47.8
1.44xG1.03
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