GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 2/23/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Magallanes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Curico Unido are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Magallanes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Magallanes hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Primera B, while Magallanes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Magallanes

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Curico UnidoWLLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MagallanesLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Curico UnidoMagallanes
33.3Attack57.4
48.1Defence42.6
35.2Form51.9
41.7Power53.6
1.18xG1.69
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